The model estimates 2.31 goals for Mansfield and 1.00 for Barnsley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mansfield and 6 for Barnsley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mansfield · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mansfield is going head to head with Barnsley on December 26, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of League One — Round 21.
Mansfield take on Barnsley in the League One on 26 December 2026 at 15:00.
Mansfield are currently placed 10th in the table with 18 points, while Barnsley occupy 23rd position with 8 points.
Mansfield come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Barnsley have 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Mansfield have 4 wins against Barnsley, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Mansfield to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.31. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 58%.




In their last 6 matches, Mansfield have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Mansfield's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mansfield's last 6 matches.
Barnsley have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Barnsley have lost 6 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Barnsley's last 6 matches.