The model estimates 1.25 goals for Barnsley and 1.54 for Burton Albion. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Barnsley and 6 for Burton Albion, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Burton Albion · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Barnsley is going head to head with Burton Albion on December 29, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of League One — Round 22.
Barnsley take on Burton Albion in the League One on 29 December 2026 at 19:45.
Barnsley are currently placed 23rd in the table with 8 points, while Burton Albion occupy 12th position with 17 points.
Barnsley come into this match with 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Burton Albion have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Barnsley have 8 wins against Burton Albion, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Burton Albion to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.80. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 58%.




Barnsley have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Barnsley have lost 6 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Barnsley's last 6 matches.
Burton Albion have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.