The model estimates 1.07 goals for Barnsley and 1.37 for Notts County. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Barnsley and 6 for Notts County, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Notts County · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Barnsley is going head to head with Notts County on January 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League One — Round 23.
Barnsley take on Notts County in the League One on 1 January 2027 at 00:00.
Barnsley are currently placed 23rd in the table with 8 points, while Notts County occupy 19th position with 11 points.
Barnsley come into this match with 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Notts County have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Barnsley have 6 wins against Notts County, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Notts County to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.45. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.




Barnsley have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Barnsley have lost 6 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Barnsley's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Notts County have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Notts County's last 6 matches.
Notts County score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.