The model estimates 1.39 goals for Fatima and 1.63 for Alverca B. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fatima and 6 for Alverca B, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fatima · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fatima is going head to head with Alverca B on December 13, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 11.
Fatima take on Alverca B in the Campeonato de Portugal on 13 December 2026 at 18:00.
Fatima are currently placed 39th in the table with 5 points, while Alverca B occupy 33rd position with 6 points.
Fatima come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alverca B have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Fatima have 2 wins against Alverca B.
Prediction: Alverca B to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.




Fatima have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Fatima's last 6 matches.
Fatima score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Alverca B have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Alverca B have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alverca B's last 6 matches.