The model estimates 0.90 goals for Malaga and 1.98 for Atl. Madrid. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malaga and 6 for Atl. Madrid, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atl. Madrid · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malaga is going head to head with Atl. Madrid on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 26.
Malaga take on Atl. Madrid in the LaLiga on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Malaga are currently placed 20th in the table with 5 points, while Atl. Madrid occupy 2nd position with 25 points.
Malaga come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atl. Madrid have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Atl. Madrid have 1 win against Malaga.
Prediction: Atl. Madrid to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.88. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 52%.




Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
Atl. Madrid are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atl. Madrid have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Atl. Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.