The model estimates 2.17 goals for Elche and 0.90 for Malaga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Elche and 6 for Malaga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Elche · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Elche is going head to head with Malaga on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 27.
Elche take on Malaga in the LaLiga on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Elche are currently placed 14th in the table with 10 points, while Malaga occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Elche come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Malaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Elche to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.07. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Elche have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Elche have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Elche have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Malaga's last 6 matches.