The model estimates 2.11 goals for Maastricht and 2.39 for Jong AZ Alkmaar. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Maastricht and 6 for Jong AZ Alkmaar, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jong AZ Alkmaar · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Maastricht is going head to head with Jong AZ Alkmaar on March 05, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 29.
Maastricht take on Jong AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 5 March 2027 at 00:00.
Maastricht are currently placed 10th in the table with 17 points, while Jong AZ Alkmaar occupy 8th position with 17 points.
Maastricht come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jong AZ Alkmaar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Maastricht have 1 win against Jong AZ Alkmaar.
Prediction: Jong AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.50. Over 2.5: 83%. BTTS: 81%.




Maastricht have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Maastricht have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Maastricht's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Jong AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jong AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jong AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.