The model estimates 2.14 goals for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 1.62 for Vitesse. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 6 for Vitesse, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jong AZ Alkmaar · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Vitesse on April 05, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 32.
Jong AZ Alkmaar take on Vitesse in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 5 April 2027 at 00:00.
Jong AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 8th in the table with 17 points, while Vitesse occupy 9th position with 17 points.
Jong AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vitesse have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Vitesse have 2 wins against Jong AZ Alkmaar, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Jong AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.76. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 72%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Jong AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jong AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jong AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Vitesse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vitesse's last 6 matches.
Vitesse have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.