The model estimates 1.25 goals for Lumezzane and 1.19 for Desenzano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lumezzane and 6 for Desenzano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lumezzane · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lumezzane is going head to head with Desenzano on November 29, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 16.
Lumezzane take on Desenzano in the Italy Serie C on 29 November 2026 at 20:00.
Lumezzane are currently placed 41st in the table with 12 points, while Desenzano occupy 38th position with 13 points.
Lumezzane come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Desenzano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lumezzane and Desenzano to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.44. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.
LUMDESLUMDESLUMDESLUMDESLUMDESLUMDESLUMDESLUMDESLUMDESThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lumezzane's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lumezzane's last 6 matches.
Lumezzane have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Desenzano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Desenzano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Desenzano have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
