The model estimates 1.20 goals for Pergolettese and 0.74 for Desenzano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Pergolettese and 6 for Desenzano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pergolettese · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Pergolettese is going head to head with Desenzano on December 13, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 18.
Pergolettese take on Desenzano in the Italy Serie C on 13 December 2026 at 20:00.
Pergolettese are currently placed 22nd in the table with 17 points, while Desenzano occupy 38th position with 13 points.
Pergolettese come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Desenzano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Pergolettese have 1 win against Desenzano.
Prediction: Pergolettese to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.94. Over 2.5: 31%. BTTS: 38%.
PERDESPERDESPERDESPERDESPERDESPERDESPERDESPERDESPERDESPergolettese are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Pergolettese have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Pergolettese's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Desenzano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Desenzano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Desenzano have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
