The model estimates 1.59 goals for Desenzano and 1.35 for Carpi. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Desenzano and 6 for Carpi, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Desenzano · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Desenzano is going head to head with Carpi on December 06, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 17.
Desenzano take on Carpi in the Italy Serie C on 6 December 2026 at 20:00.
Desenzano are currently placed 38th in the table with 13 points, while Carpi occupy 42nd position with 12 points.
Desenzano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Carpi have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Desenzano to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.94. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 60%.




In their last 6 matches, Desenzano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Desenzano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Desenzano have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Carpi's last 6 matches.
Carpi have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Carpi's last 6 matches.