The model estimates 2.23 goals for Lugo and 0.96 for AD Merida. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lugo and 6 for AD Merida, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lugo · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lugo is going head to head with AD Merida on November 01, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 10.
Lugo take on AD Merida in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 1 November 2026 at 19:00.
Lugo are currently placed 1st in the table with 22 points, while AD Merida occupy 17th position with 13 points.
Lugo come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AD Merida have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lugo to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.18. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 56%.




In their last 6 matches, Lugo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Lugo have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lugo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AD Merida have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Merida have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
AD Merida score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.