European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.09 goals for UD Ourense and 1.32 for AD Merida. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for UD Ourense and 6 for AD Merida, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AD Merida · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
UD Ourense is going head to head with AD Merida on November 15, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 12.
UD Ourense take on AD Merida in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 15 November 2026 at 19:00.
UD Ourense are currently placed 39th in the table with 5 points, while AD Merida occupy 17th position with 13 points.
UD Ourense come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AD Merida have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: UD Ourense and AD Merida to draw with probability 30%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.41. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 50%.
UD AD UD AD UD AD UD AD UD AD UD AD UD AD UD AD UD AD UD Ourense have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of UD Ourense's last 6 matches.
UD Ourense have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AD Merida have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Merida have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
AD Merida score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
