The model estimates 1.81 goals for AD Merida and 1.86 for R. Union. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AD Merida and 6 for R. Union, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AD Merida · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AD Merida is going head to head with R. Union on November 22, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 13.
AD Merida take on R. Union in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 22 November 2026 at 19:00.
AD Merida are currently placed 17th in the table with 13 points, while R. Union occupy 16th position with 13 points.
AD Merida come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas R. Union have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AD Merida to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.66. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 72%.




In their last 6 matches, AD Merida have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Merida have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
AD Merida score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, R. Union have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
R. Union have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of R. Union's last 6 matches.