The model estimates 1.14 goals for Vaduz and 2.55 for Lugano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vaduz and 6 for Lugano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lugano · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vaduz is going head to head with Lugano on December 19, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Swiss Super League — Round 18.
Vaduz take on Lugano in the Swiss Super League on 19 December 2026 at 19:00.
Vaduz are currently placed 10th in the table with 9 points, while Lugano occupy 1st position with 31 points.
Vaduz come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lugano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 37 recorded meetings, Vaduz have 14 wins against Lugano, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Lugano to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.70. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 64%.
VADLUGVADLUGVADLUGVADLUGVADLUGVADLUGVADLUGVADLUGVADLUGThere have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Vaduz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Vaduz's last 6 matches.
Vaduz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lugano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Lugano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lugano's last 6 matches.
