The model estimates 1.60 goals for Jablonec and 2.18 for Lugano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jablonec and 6 for Lugano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lugano · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jablonec is going head to head with Lugano on November 26, 2026 at 17:45. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 4.
Jablonec take on Lugano in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 26 November 2026 at 17:45.
Jablonec are currently placed 24th in the table with 1 points, while Lugano occupy 2nd position with 6 points.
Jablonec come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lugano have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lugano to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.78. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 72%.




In their last 6 matches, Jablonec have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Jablonec have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Jablonec's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lugano have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lugano's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lugano's last 6 matches.