The model estimates 1.37 goals for Lorient and 1.26 for Rennes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lorient and 6 for Rennes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lorient · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lorient is going head to head with Rennes on November 21, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 11.
Lorient take on Rennes in the Ligue 1 on 21 November 2026 at 16:00.
Lorient are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Rennes occupy 2nd position with 16 points.
Lorient come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rennes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 46 recorded meetings, Rennes have 20 wins against Lorient, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Lorient to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.63. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 55%.




In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lorient's last 6 matches.
Lorient have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Rennes's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rennes have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Rennes's last 6 matches.