The model estimates 1.54 goals for Lens and 1.32 for Monaco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lens and 6 for Monaco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lens · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lens is going head to head with Monaco on May 08, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 31.
Lens take on Monaco in the Ligue 1 on 8 May 2027 at 00:00.
Lens are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Monaco occupy 4th position with 15 points.
Lens come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Monaco have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 122 recorded meetings, Monaco have 56 wins against Lens, with 34 draws.
Prediction: Lens to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.86. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 59%.




Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Monaco have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.