The model estimates 1.42 goals for Durango and 1.63 for Leioa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Durango and 6 for Leioa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leioa · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Durango is going head to head with Leioa on December 20, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 16.
Durango take on Leioa in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 20 December 2026 at 20:00.
Durango are currently placed 8th in the table with 13 points, while Leioa occupy 1st position with 16 points.
Durango come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leioa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Leioa have 8 wins against Durango, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Leioa to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 62%.
Durango are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Durango have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Durango's last 6 matches.
Leioa are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leioa have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leioa's last 6 matches.
