The model estimates 1.87 goals for Leek and 2.60 for Morecambe. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leek and 6 for Morecambe, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Morecambe · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leek is going head to head with Morecambe on November 14, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Fa Trophy — 1/64-finals.
Leek take on Morecambe in the England Fa Trophy on 14 November 2026 at 15:00.
Leek come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Morecambe have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Morecambe to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.46. Over 2.5: 82%. BTTS: 79%.
LEEMORLEEMORLEEMORLEEMORLEEMORLEEMORLEEMORLEEMORLEEMORThere have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leek's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Leek's last 6 matches.
Leek have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Morecambe have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Morecambe's last 6 matches.
Morecambe score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
