The model estimates 1.41 goals for Morecambe and 0.86 for Spalding United. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Morecambe and 6 for Spalding United, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Morecambe · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Morecambe is going head to head with Spalding United on November 28, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 19.
Morecambe take on Spalding United in the England National League North on 28 November 2026 at 15:00.
Morecambe are currently placed 10th in the table with 20 points, while Spalding United occupy 14th position with 18 points.
Morecambe come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Spalding United have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Morecambe to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.26. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 45%.




In their last 6 matches, Morecambe have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Morecambe's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Morecambe's last 6 matches.
Spalding United have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Spalding United concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Spalding United have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.