The model estimates 0.89 goals for Lecce and 1.99 for Napoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lecce and 6 for Napoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Napoli · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lecce is going head to head with Napoli on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 23.
Lecce take on Napoli in the Serie A on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Lecce are currently placed 14th in the table with 9 points, while Napoli occupy 7th position with 14 points.
Lecce come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Napoli have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 38 recorded meetings, Napoli have 17 wins against Lecce, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Napoli to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.87. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 52%.




Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Napoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Napoli score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Napoli have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 away matches.