The model estimates 1.21 goals for Lecce and 1.19 for Cagliari. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lecce and 6 for Cagliari, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lecce · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lecce is going head to head with Cagliari on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 34.
Lecce take on Cagliari in the Serie A on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Lecce are currently placed 14th in the table with 9 points, while Cagliari occupy 6th position with 15 points.
Lecce come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cagliari have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 27 recorded meetings, Cagliari have 10 wins against Lecce, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Lecce to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.40. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 51%.




Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.
Cagliari have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Cagliari concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Cagliari have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.