The model estimates 1.08 goals for Genoa and 0.95 for Cagliari. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Genoa and 6 for Cagliari, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Cagliari · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Genoa is going head to head with Cagliari on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 35.
Genoa take on Cagliari in the Serie A on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Genoa are currently placed 13th in the table with 10 points, while Cagliari occupy 6th position with 15 points.
Genoa come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cagliari have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 66 recorded meetings, Cagliari have 25 wins against Genoa, with 19 draws.
Prediction: Genoa to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.03. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 42%.




In their last 6 matches, Genoa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Genoa's last 6 matches.
Cagliari have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Cagliari concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Cagliari have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.