The model estimates 2.12 goals for Atalanta and 1.46 for Lecce. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Atalanta and 6 for Lecce, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atalanta · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Atalanta is going head to head with Lecce on May 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 37.
Atalanta take on Lecce in the Serie A on 23 May 2027 at 00:00.
Atalanta are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Lecce occupy 14th position with 9 points.
Atalanta come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lecce have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 38 recorded meetings, Atalanta have 19 wins against Lecce, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Atalanta to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.58. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 69%.




Atalanta have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.