The model estimates 1.20 goals for Lecce and 2.03 for AC Milan. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lecce and 6 for AC Milan, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AC Milan · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lecce is going head to head with AC Milan on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 33.
Lecce take on AC Milan in the Serie A on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
Lecce are currently placed 14th in the table with 9 points, while AC Milan occupy 5th position with 18 points.
Lecce come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AC Milan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, AC Milan have 1 win against Lecce.
Prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.23. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 62%.




Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AC Milan have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AC Milan's last 6 matches.
AC Milan score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.