The model estimates 2.03 goals for Leca and 1.48 for Varzim. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leca and 6 for Varzim, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leca · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leca is going head to head with Varzim on November 01, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 8.
Leca take on Varzim in the Liga 3 on 1 November 2026 at 18:00.
Leca are currently placed 6th in the table with 10 points, while Varzim occupy 10th position with 9 points.
Leca come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Varzim have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Leca to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.51. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 68%.




In their last 6 home matches, Leca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Leca's last 6 home matches.
Leca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 home matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Varzim have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.