The model estimates 1.46 goals for Lazio and 1.89 for AS Roma. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lazio and 6 for AS Roma, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AS Roma · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lazio is going head to head with AS Roma on December 13, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 15.
Lazio take on AS Roma in the Serie A on 13 December 2026 at 20:30.
Lazio are currently placed 2nd in the table with 25 points, while AS Roma occupy 3rd position with 21 points.
Lazio come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AS Roma have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AS Roma to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.35. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 66%.




Lazio are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lazio have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Lazio have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AS Roma have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AS Roma's last 6 matches.
AS Roma have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.