The model estimates 1.67 goals for Frosinone and 2.21 for Lazio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Frosinone and 6 for Lazio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lazio · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Frosinone is going head to head with Lazio on December 20, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 16.
Frosinone take on Lazio in the Serie A on 20 December 2026 at 20:30.
Frosinone are currently placed 8th in the table with 14 points, while Lazio occupy 2nd position with 25 points.
Frosinone come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lazio have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Lazio have 6 wins against Frosinone, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Lazio to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.88. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 73%.




In their last 6 matches, Frosinone have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Frosinone's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Frosinone's last 6 matches.
Lazio are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lazio have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Lazio have won 5 of their last 6 matches.