The model estimates 1.67 goals for Lajense and 1.26 for Portel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lajense and 6 for Portel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lajense · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lajense is going head to head with Portel on November 28, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 9.
Lajense take on Portel in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 November 2026 at 19:00.
Lajense are currently placed 41st in the table with 7 points, while Portel occupy 40th position with 7 points.
Lajense come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Portel have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lajense to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.93. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 60%.


Lajense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lajense score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Lajense concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Portel have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Portel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Portel's last 6 matches.