The model estimates 1.73 goals for Lagoa and 1.02 for Portel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lagoa and 6 for Portel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lagoa · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lagoa is going head to head with Portel on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 13.
Lagoa take on Portel in the Campeonato de Portugal on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Lagoa are currently placed 34th in the table with 6 points, while Portel occupy 42nd position with 5 points.
Lagoa come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Portel have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lagoa to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.76. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 54%.


Lagoa have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lagoa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lagoa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Portel have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Portel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Portel's last 6 matches.