The model estimates 1.78 goals for Lagoa and 0.78 for Aljustrelense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lagoa and 6 for Aljustrelense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lagoa · 60%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lagoa is going head to head with Aljustrelense on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 14.
Lagoa take on Aljustrelense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Lagoa are currently placed 34th in the table with 6 points, while Aljustrelense occupy 50th position with 3 points.
Lagoa come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aljustrelense have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Lagoa have yet to beat Aljustrelense, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Lagoa to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.56. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 47%.




Lagoa have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lagoa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lagoa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Aljustrelense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Aljustrelense's last 6 matches.
Aljustrelense have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.