The model estimates 1.73 goals for Köln and 1.25 for Union Berlin. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Köln and 6 for Union Berlin, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Köln · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Köln is going head to head with Union Berlin on March 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 25.
Köln take on Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 6 March 2027 at 00:00.
Köln are currently placed 13th in the table with 8 points, while Union Berlin occupy 17th position with 6 points.
Köln come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Union Berlin have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Union Berlin have 10 wins against Köln, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Köln to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.98. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 60%.




Köln have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Köln's last 6 matches.
Köln concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.