The model estimates 1.79 goals for Köln and 1.15 for Hamburger SV. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Köln and 6 for Hamburger SV, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Köln · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Köln is going head to head with Hamburger SV on February 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 21.
Köln take on Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga on 13 February 2027 at 00:00.
Köln are currently placed 13th in the table with 8 points, while Hamburger SV occupy 12th position with 9 points.
Köln come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hamburger SV have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 107 recorded meetings, Hamburger SV have 43 wins against Köln, with 29 draws.
Prediction: Köln to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.94. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 58%.




Köln have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Köln's last 6 matches.
Köln concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.