The model estimates 1.31 goals for Hamburger SV and 1.18 for Paderborn. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hamburger SV and 6 for Paderborn, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hamburger SV · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hamburger SV is going head to head with Paderborn on March 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 24.
Hamburger SV take on Paderborn in the Bundesliga on 3 March 2027 at 00:00.
Hamburger SV are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while Paderborn occupy 14th position with 8 points.
Hamburger SV come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Paderborn have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 19 recorded meetings, Paderborn have 9 wins against Hamburger SV, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Hamburger SV to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.49. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Hamburger SV have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Paderborn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Paderborn have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.
Paderborn have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 away matches.