The model estimates 1.89 goals for Hamburger SV and 1.78 for Hoffenheim. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hamburger SV and 6 for Hoffenheim, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hamburger SV · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hamburger SV is going head to head with Hoffenheim on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 22.
Hamburger SV take on Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
Hamburger SV are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while Hoffenheim occupy 10th position with 9 points.
Hamburger SV come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hoffenheim have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 24 recorded meetings, Hoffenheim have 11 wins against Hamburger SV, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Hamburger SV to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.67. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 72%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Hamburger SV have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Hoffenheim score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.