The model estimates 2.81 goals for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 1.43 for De Graafschap. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 6 for De Graafschap, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jong AZ Alkmaar · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with De Graafschap on April 19, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 34.
Jong AZ Alkmaar take on De Graafschap in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 19 April 2027 at 00:00.
Jong AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 8th in the table with 17 points, while De Graafschap occupy 16th position with 12 points.
Jong AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas De Graafschap have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, De Graafschap have 8 wins against Jong AZ Alkmaar, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Jong AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.23. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 72%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Jong AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jong AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jong AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, De Graafschap have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
De Graafschap have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.