The model estimates 1.31 goals for Jerez CF and 1.70 for Moralo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jerez CF and 6 for Moralo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moralo · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jerez CF is going head to head with Moralo on November 15, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 11.
Jerez CF take on Moralo in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 15 November 2026 at 20:00.
Jerez CF are currently placed 9th in the table with 10 points, while Moralo occupy 2nd position with 18 points.
Jerez CF come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Moralo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 28 recorded meetings, Jerez CF have 10 wins against Moralo, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Moralo to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 61%.


Jerez CF concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Jerez CF have won only 2 of their last 6 home matches.
Jerez CF score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 home matches.
Moralo are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Moralo have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Moralo's last 6 matches.