The model estimates 2.01 goals for CD Zafra and 1.30 for Jerez CF. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CD Zafra and 6 for Jerez CF, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CD Zafra · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CD Zafra is going head to head with Jerez CF on November 22, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 12.
CD Zafra take on Jerez CF in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 22 November 2026 at 20:00.
CD Zafra are currently placed 13th in the table with 8 points, while Jerez CF occupy 9th position with 10 points.
CD Zafra come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jerez CF have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: CD Zafra to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.32. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 64%.


CD Zafra have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of CD Zafra's last 6 matches.
Jerez CF concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Jerez CF have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.
Jerez CF have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.