The model estimates 1.48 goals for Moralo and 0.58 for Llerenense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moralo and 6 for Llerenense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moralo · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moralo is going head to head with Llerenense on November 22, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 12.
Moralo take on Llerenense in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 22 November 2026 at 20:00.
Moralo are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while Llerenense occupy 3rd position with 17 points.
Moralo come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Llerenense have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Llerenense have 6 wins against Moralo, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Moralo to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.05. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 35%.


Moralo are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Moralo have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Moralo's last 6 matches.
Llerenense are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Llerenense have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Llerenense have won 4 of their last 6 matches.