The model estimates 2.02 goals for Jagiellonia and 1.31 for Motor Lublin. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jagiellonia and 6 for Motor Lublin, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jagiellonia · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jagiellonia is going head to head with Motor Lublin on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ekstraklasa — Round 19.
Jagiellonia take on Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Jagiellonia are currently placed 7th in the table with 21 points, while Motor Lublin occupy 9th position with 19 points.
Jagiellonia come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Jagiellonia have 4 wins against Motor Lublin, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Jagiellonia to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.33. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 65%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Jagiellonia's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jagiellonia's last 6 home matches.
Jagiellonia have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 home matches.
Motor Lublin are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Motor Lublin have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Motor Lublin's last 6 matches.