The model estimates 2.66 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.99 for Jagiellonia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Levski Sofia and 6 for Jagiellonia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Levski Sofia · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Levski Sofia is going head to head with Jagiellonia on November 05, 2026 at 17:45. This match is part of UEFA Europa League — Round 4.
Levski Sofia take on Jagiellonia in the UEFA Europa League on 5 November 2026 at 17:45.
Levski Sofia are currently placed 17th in the table with 4 points, while Jagiellonia occupy 27th position with 3 points.
Levski Sofia come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jagiellonia have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Levski Sofia to win with probability 66%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.65. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 59%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Levski Sofia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Levski Sofia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Levski Sofia's last 6 matches.
Jagiellonia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Jagiellonia have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jagiellonia's last 6 matches.