The model estimates 1.56 goals for Lyon and 2.10 for Bayer Leverkusen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lyon and 6 for Bayer Leverkusen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bayer Leverkusen · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lyon is going head to head with Bayer Leverkusen on January 27, 2027 at 21:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa League — Round 8.
Lyon take on Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Europa League on 27 January 2027 at 21:00.
Lyon are currently placed 12th in the table with 6 points, while Bayer Leverkusen occupy 2nd position with 9 points.
Lyon come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bayer Leverkusen have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.66. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 70%.




In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bayer Leverkusen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 6 matches.
Bayer Leverkusen have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.