The model estimates 1.76 goals for Holstein Kiel and 0.74 for Darmstadt. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Holstein Kiel and 6 for Darmstadt, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Holstein Kiel · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Holstein Kiel is going head to head with Darmstadt on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of 2. Bundesliga — Round 18.
Holstein Kiel take on Darmstadt in the 2. Bundesliga on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Holstein Kiel are currently placed 17th in the table with 8 points, while Darmstadt occupy 16th position with 9 points.
Holstein Kiel come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Darmstadt have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Darmstadt have 7 wins against Holstein Kiel, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Holstein Kiel to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.49. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 45%.




Holstein Kiel have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Holstein Kiel's last 6 matches.
Holstein Kiel have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Darmstadt have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Darmstadt have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Darmstadt's last 6 matches.