The model estimates 3.22 goals for Hoffenheim and 2.37 for Mainz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hoffenheim and 6 for Mainz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mainz · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hoffenheim is going head to head with Mainz on May 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 33.
Hoffenheim take on Mainz in the Bundesliga on 15 May 2027 at 00:00.
Hoffenheim are currently placed 10th in the table with 9 points, while Mainz occupy 7th position with 10 points.
Hoffenheim come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mainz have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 37 recorded meetings, Mainz have 17 wins against Hoffenheim, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Hoffenheim to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 3-2. Avg goals: 5.59. Over 2.5: 92%. BTTS: 87%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Hoffenheim score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.