The model estimates 1.59 goals for Paderborn and 1.02 for Union Berlin. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Paderborn and 6 for Union Berlin, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Paderborn · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Paderborn is going head to head with Union Berlin on May 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 33.
Paderborn take on Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 15 May 2027 at 00:00.
Paderborn are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Union Berlin occupy 17th position with 6 points.
Paderborn come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Union Berlin have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Paderborn have 10 wins against Union Berlin, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Paderborn to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.61. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 52%.




In their last 6 matches, Paderborn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Union Berlin have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.