The model estimates 3.47 goals for Heracles and 1.16 for Helmond. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Heracles and 6 for Helmond, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Heracles · 74%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Heracles is going head to head with Helmond on January 22, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 23.
Heracles take on Helmond in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 22 January 2027 at 00:00.
Heracles are currently placed 1st in the table with 29 points, while Helmond occupy 19th position with 9 points.
Heracles come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Helmond have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Heracles have yet to beat Helmond, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Heracles to win with probability 72%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.63. Over 2.5: 84%. BTTS: 67%.




In their last 6 matches, Heracles have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Heracles have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Heracles score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Helmond have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Helmond have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Helmond's last 6 matches.