The model estimates 1.20 goals for Roda and 1.54 for Heracles. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Roda and 6 for Heracles, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Heracles · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Roda is going head to head with Heracles on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 24.
Roda take on Heracles in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Roda are currently placed 5th in the table with 22 points, while Heracles occupy 1st position with 29 points.
Roda come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Heracles have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Heracles to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.75. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.




In their last 6 matches, Roda have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Roda's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Roda's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Heracles have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Heracles have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Heracles score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.