The model estimates 1.30 goals for Hartlepool and 2.18 for Southend. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hartlepool and 6 for Southend, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southend · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hartlepool is going head to head with Southend on November 28, 2026 at 17:30. This match is part of England National League — Round 20.
Hartlepool take on Southend in the England National League on 28 November 2026 at 17:30.
Hartlepool are currently placed 20th in the table with 15 points, while Southend occupy 3rd position with 29 points.
Hartlepool come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southend have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Southend have 13 wins against Hartlepool, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Southend to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.49. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 66%.




Hartlepool have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hartlepool have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hartlepool's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Southend's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Southend have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Southend's last 6 matches.