The model estimates 1.90 goals for AFC Fylde and 1.87 for Southend. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AFC Fylde and 6 for Southend, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AFC Fylde · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AFC Fylde is going head to head with Southend on December 18, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of England National League — Round 23.
AFC Fylde take on Southend in the England National League on 18 December 2026 at 19:45.
AFC Fylde are currently placed 8th in the table with 26 points, while Southend occupy 3rd position with 29 points.
AFC Fylde come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southend have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Southend have 3 wins against AFC Fylde.
Prediction: AFC Fylde to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.77. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 73%.




AFC Fylde have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
AFC Fylde concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, AFC Fylde have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Southend's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Southend have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Southend's last 6 matches.